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COVID 19: The Impact of Government Policy Responses on Economic Activity and Stock Market Performance in Malaysia

Chia-Guan Keh · Yan-Teng Tan ·Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia ·2021 ·JEL: G10, G12, G18, H51, I18, O40

The exponential spread of the coronavirus in Malaysia has caused a significant majority of the economic activities to cease, resulting in poor stock market performance. This pandemic situation has in turn prompted the government to introduce policies to restart and improve economic activity and stock market performance. Hence, does the government’s interference in attempting to control the outbreak of COVID-19 disease, play an important part in affecting the level of economic activity and stock market performance? To resolve this doubt, the impact of government policy responses to COVID-19 in the case of Malaysia was investigated. The sample period of the study was from 28 January 2020 till 29 May 2020, amounting to a total of 84 observations. The findings reveal that the responses taken by the government, such as staying at home requirements, closure of workplaces and debt or contract relief for households, significantly affected both economic activity and stock market performance in the country. Based on the results, these responses appear to have significant policy implications, particularly in displaying that debt or contract relief for households have negative impacts on the economic activities, but a positive impact on the stock market.

Dynamics of Malaysia’s Bilateral Export Post Covid-19: A Gravity Model Analysis

Muhamad Rias K V Zainuddin · Md Shafiin Shukor · Muhamad Solehuddin Zulkifli · Amirul Hamza Abdullah ·Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia ·2021 ·JEL: F10, F14

The recent pandemic outbreak has distorted international trade flows as the global economic activity reaches a nearstandstill due to stricter movement control imposed by most countries worldwide. Despite gaining the researcher’s attention, the impact of Covid-19 on trade performances are still relatively understudied. Hence, this study aims to analyse the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic outbreak on the bilateral sectoral export for Malaysia. This study employs Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) regressions to analyse the sectoral impact in gravity models. The findings provide new perspectives on the varying impacts of the current pandemic outbreak on sectoral trade performances. The dummy variables that represent the existence of Covid-19 have significantly reduced bilateral exports for 11 sectors while increased the exports for seven sectors. Meanwhile, the severity of the Covid-19 outbreak (measured by the number of new cases and death cases) in Malaysia has negative impacts on 14 sectors. The reason for this is that when the current pandemic outbreak in Malaysia is more severe, the government has to enforce stricter movement controls that affect productions and reduce exports. On the other hand, the severity of the Covid-19 outbreak in trading partners has positive impacts on the export for 13 sectors in Malaysia. This is because the more severe pandemic outbreak in trading nations causes lower production capacities and thus higher dependence on imported goods. Differences between the impact of Covid-19 existence and severity by sectors should serve as a red flag for Malaysia’s policymakers to take immediate actions to minimise the impact of the ongoing pandemic outbreak and maximise gains from sectors that have higher demand post Covid-19. The net negative impact on the export performance further reiterates the need for government intervention policies to ensure domestic firms can withstand the current tide, which then minimises the social and economic impacts and helps the economy to recover.

Estimating Expenditure Pattern and Permanent Income Hypothesis: Evidence from Kelantan Malaysia

Ahmad Fahme Mohd Ali · Naziatul Aziah Mohd Radzi · Ruzanifah Kosnin · Suchi Hassan · Siti Salina Saidin ·Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia ·2021 ·JEL: B10, D15, D31, E21

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the consumption function among households in Kelantan Malaysia based on the Permanent Income Hypothesis (PIH). This study used secondary data obtained from annual reports, as well as from published and non-published data between 2000 and 2016. The ARDL bound testing approach to deal with cointegration was applied to estimate the long run correlation between the variables. Meanwhile, the error correction method (ECM) was used to determine any short run correlation. This study found a large disparity between the elasticity to consume from current income and the elasticity to consume from permanent income among households in Kelantan. Therefore, it can be concluded that in the case of Kelantan, the PIH is valid.

Financial literacy, behavior and vulnerability among Malaysian households: Does gender matter?

Mohamad Fazli Sabri · Eugene Cheng-Xi Aw · Husniyah Abdul Rahim · Nik Ahmad Sufian Burhan · Mohd Amim Othman · Megawati Simanjuntak ·International Journal of Economics and Management ·2021 ·JEL: G41, G53

This study aims to identify the factors determining financial vulnerability among Malaysia households. A questionnaire-based survey was conducted using multi-stage sampling technique. In total, 578 useable responses were collected and data were analyzed using partial least square structural equation modeling. The empirical results revealed that i) financial literacy positively influenced financial behavior, ii) financial behavior negatively influenced financial vulnerability, iii) financial behavior mediates the relationship between financial literacy and financial vulnerability, iv) gender moderates the relationship between financial behavior and financial vulnerability. This study enriches the theoretical foundations of financial vulnerability through the exploration of mediation and moderation mechanism. Implications and future research suggestions are discussed.

Gender Norms and Gender Inequality in Unpaid Domestic Work among Malay Couples in Malaysia

Harn Shian Boo ·Pertanika Journal of Social Science and Humanities ·2021

This article explores how gender norms rooted in culture and religion influence gender inequality among Malay couples in Malaysia. Studies on the unbalanced division of unpaid domestic work are pivotal because they negatively affect women’s economic status, wellbeing and life. Many studies have indicated that gender inequality in the division of household labour persists even after accounting for paid work time and resources, suggesting that gender norms lead to the unequal division in unpaid domestic work. By using gender perspective as the theoretical perspective, this study explores how men and women behave according to cultural and religious defined gender roles and are expected to behave as such. In this qualitative study, semi-structured interviews were conducted with nine Malay couples in Malaysia. The study suggests that women shoulder a disproportionate amount of housework and childcare due to the cultural and religious gender norms that foster the prescribed roles, emphasising men’s role as the primary breadwinners and women’s role as the homemakers. This study highlights that gender norms rooted in culture and religion plays vital roles in creating gender inequality among Malay couples. Moreover, this study adds support to the gender perspective that not only gender role ideology matter, but also highlights that religiosity matters when accounting for gender norms in Malay society. This study implies that recognising the importance of cultural and religious gender norms around domestic work as women’s work is crucial in narrowing the gender gap in unpaid domestic work.

Income Inequality and Household Debt in Malaysia: Is There an Asymmetric Relationship?

Siew-Pong Cheah · Lin-Sea Lau · Chee-Keong Choong ·International Journal of Economics and Management ·2021 ·JEL: D3, D63, G51

Most past studies have assumed a symmetric relationship between income distribution and household indebtedness. Therefore, linear or symmetric modelling would miss possible asymmetric relationships between income distribution and household debt, resulting in misleading conclusions and policy suggestions. Thus, this study has explored the potential asymmetries between household debt and income inequality within long-run and short-run relationships. This study discovered that the association between income inequality and household debt was asymmetric in the long and short run using the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model. The results showed that only decreases in income inequality had a significant and positive effect on household debt, while increases in income inequality did not have a significant effect. The findings emphasised the need for policies to reduce income inequality to lessen debt among Malaysian households.

Labour Market Reactions to Lockdown Measures during the Covid-19 Pandemic in Malaysia: An Empirical Note

Muzafar Shah Habibullah · Mohd Yusof Saari · Badariah Haji Din · Sugiharso Safuan · Chakrin Utit ·Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia ·2021 ·JEL: H30, I18, J64

In this empirical note, we examine the relationship between the loss of employment and lockdown measures undertaken by the Malaysian government during the Covid-19 pandemic outbreak over the period from 25 January 2020 to 10 September 2020. By using cointegration analysis, our results suggest that there are both long-run and short-run relationships between loss of employment and lockdown measures in Malaysia. Lockdown measures show positive impact on the number of workers who lost their jobs during the pandemic. The loss of employment increases by 0.35% to 1.1% for every 1% increase in the lockdown measures.

MCO in Malaysia: Consumer Confidence and Households’ Responses

Siti `Aisyah Baharudin · Hayyan Nassar Waked · Mohd Shah Paimen ·Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia ·2021 ·JEL: A1, D1, E7

This research attempts to analyze households’ responses to Movement Control Orders (MCO) and assess the impact of MCO on consumer confidence based on the potential disproportionate impact on various income groups in Malaysia. Households’ responses and consumer confidence are measured through an online survey to collect the targeted groups’ financial situation and household information and expectations during MCO. A total of 660 respondents from all over Malaysia were involved in this study. Analysis of the MCO responses showed that households were able to comply with MCO rules with the highest positive response of 99.7%. In comparison, the households’ responses to the implementation of MCO showed the highest negative response of 18.4%, with the majority represented by the B40 income category (65.2%). The consumer confidence present index is operating at six times higher than the expectation index, which indicates that the implementation of MCO in the short-run has a moderate impact on households’ economic status than in the long-run involving the COVID-19 pandemic effect on the overall economy. According to the people’s confidence to the government in the long-run, current political developments are essential to influence the people’s confidence in the economy. The consumer confidence index gives an overview of two policies that need to be emphasized by the government. Based on the short-run status of food consumption, this study strongly recommends that the policymakers consider establishing a National Food Stockpile in light of the nation’s food security and moving on to food-based agriculture that considers the targeted groups in the long-run.

The Economic Impacts of Air Safety Rating Downgrade for Malaysia

Tamat Sarmidi · Nurul Aishah Khairuddin · Muhamad Rias K V Zainuddin ·Malaysian Journal of Economic Studies ·2021 ·JEL: D67, L93, R41

In 2019, the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) downgraded the Civil Aviation Authority of Malaysia (CAAM) from tier one to tier two. Existing research has revealed that downgrading air safety ratings has a detrimental effect on the aviation sector. Although extensive research has been carried out on air safety downgrading, limited studies have delved into the backward and forward linkages and inter-industries framework. By employing a difference-in-differences (DID) panel data econometric and input-output (I-O) analysis to a modified sectoral aggregation of Malaysia’s I-O Table 2015, this study is able to simulate the impact of air safety downgrading. The findings show that, apart from being a “key” industry, air safety downgrades could result in a RM722.5 million loss to Malaysia’s GDP. A more in-depth inspection of the results indicates that the reduction in GDP mainly results from the air transport industry (RM252.0 million), other transportation services (RM107.0 million), and wholesale and retail trade (RM66.2 million). The findings complement earlier related studies that air safety rating downgrades could be a severe threat to sustainable economic growth.

The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on International Trade Between Malaysia and China

Ke-Chyn Ng · Mui-Yin Chin ·International Journal of Economics and Management ·2021 ·JEL: F14, F31

This study examined the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on the level of international trade between Malaysia and China using 45 observations spanning from 2010 quarter 1 to 2021 quarter 1. The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model was adopted to compute the exchange rate fluctuations. International trade between Malaysia and China was selected in this study as, since 2009, China has consistently been Malaysia's top trading partner. Besides, to produce precise output, this study employed two models: the export and import models. The empirical results, derived from Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modelling, suggested that exchange rate fluctuations had a negative but statistically insignificant impact on exports. In contrast, exchange rate fluctuations had a positive and statistically significant impact on imports. This result implied that importers from Malaysia were generally risk-takers, as they tended to trade significantly during periods of high exchange rate fluctuation. However, to avoid losses for both exporters and importers due to exchange rate fluctuations, policymakers from both countries should ensure that facilities for exchange rate hedging become more convenient and straightforward for traders so that international trade continues to bloom for both countries.

Corporate Sustainability and Firms' Financial Performance: Evidence from Malaysian and Indonesian Public Listed Companies

Norashikin Ismail · Nadia Anridho · Mohamad Azwan Md Isa · Nor Hadaliza Abd Rahman · Noriah Ismail ·International Journal of Economics and Management ·2022 ·JEL: O16, L25

The aim of study is to examine the impact of corporate sustainability (ESG) on the financial performance for Malaysia and Indonesia. A sample was selected comprising of 36 companies listed in Bursa Malaysia and 24 companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange over the ten-year period 2010-2019. Using fixed effect (FE) and pooled OLS suggest that ESG practices are positively associated with financial performance. This result implies that companies engaged in environmental, social and governance aspects have a higher shareholder value. A good economy condition encouraged companies to integrate ESG aspects and rewarded investors with good financial return (ROE). Companies with lesser governance practice would increase shareholders value (ROE). Essentially, this empirical evidence confirms stakeholder’s theory and agency theory. The implication of this study is to strengthen the development of sustainability from ESG practice and in line with current agenda of sustainable finance for the policymakers. Indeed, this study encourages more potential investors to invest companies with ESG practices

Environmental, Social and Governance Performance: Continuous Improvement Matters

Woei Chyuan Wong · Abd Halim Ahmad · Shamsul Bahrain Mohamed-Arshad · Sabariah Nordin · Azira Abdul Adzis ·Malaysian Journal of Economic Studies ·2022 ·JEL: G32

This paper examines the determinants of Malaysian listed firms’ environmental, social and governance (ESG) performance during the period 2005–2018. We focus on individual firms’ continuous efforts to improve their ESG scores once they are ESG rated. Panel fixed effect results reveal that the number of years since a firm was first included in Bloomberg’s ESG score is positive and significantly related to its ESG performance. We interpret this as evidence of firms’ deliberate efforts to improve their ESG scores once they fall under the radar of a third-party ESG rating agency. This finding underscores the importance of third-party rating agency in fostering greater corporate sustainability. We contribute to the literature that posits that ESG third-party rating agency can lead to higher level of ESG practices of the rated firms.

Mate Crime Victimisation Against People with Disabilities: An Exploratory Study in Sarawak, Malaysia

Tharshini Sivabalan · Faizah Haji Mas’ud · Dolly Paul Carlo ·Pertanika Journal of Social Science and Humanities ·2022

Individuals with disabilities are highly exposed to mate crime victimisation than their non-disabled counterparts. This research aims to identify mate crime victimisation among people with disabilities in Sarawak, Malaysia. Data was quantitatively collected among 151 respondents from various governmental and non-governmental organisations in Kuching, Kota Samarahan, and Asajaya that provide residential care, medical attention, training, work opportunities, basic education, and rehabilitation for individuals with disabilities. It was found that most respondents (females between 18 and 28 years old) experienced mate crime victimisation, particularly financial abuse (F₂‚₁₄₈ = 5.905, p = .003) and sexual abuse (F₂‚₁₄₈ = 10.234, p = .001). It is deemed important to identify mate crime victimisation against such individuals with sufficient proof to enable law enforcement agencies and policymakers to develop optimal approaches and programmes that complement the needs of individuals with disabilities and alleviate potential mate crime victimisations.

Predicting Restructuring Outcomes of Financially Distressed Firms in Malaysia

Abd Halim Ahmad · Nur Adiana Hiau Abdullah · Kamarun Nisham Taufil Mohd ·International Journal of Economics and Management ·2022 ·JEL: G33, G32, G34

This study examined the effects of institutional factors, including; board size, blockholder ownership, and political connections, as some of the determinants (apart from various company-level financial variables) on the outcomes of financially distressed listed companies in Malaysia. A highly concentrated ownership structure is common in most developing countries, including Malaysia. Besides, Malaysia has a unique disclosure environment where all listed companies must release relevant and adequate information to the public to improve investors' protection and corporate transparency. Therefore, Practice Notes which are standards and measures for Malaysian Listed Companies, are designed to help listed companies that are financially distressed to restructure their debts within a stipulated time, giving them sufficient time to re-emerge in the exchange. The logistic regression analysis results on a sample of financially distressed Malaysian public listed companies suggested that; interest coverage ratio, stock returns, blockholder ownership, and political connections were significance at the 5% level. The institutional variables suggested that blockholder ownership and political connectedness had a positive and significant effect on the possibility of companies emerging from financially distressed conditions. The findings have provided important practical implications for managers and potential investors in their risk management decisions.

The Impact of the Investor Sentiment Index (SMI) On the Malaysian Stock Market during COVID-19 Pandemic

Ali Albada · Nurhuda Nizar ·International Journal of Economics and Management ·2022 ·JEL: G1, G4

COVID-19 is a highly contagious viral infection that has changed the world, with many human lives being lost. This study aimed to analyse investors' sentiment and stock market behaviour in Malaysia during the COVID-19 pandemic. Stock market performance was measured through the FTSE BURSA 100 Index (T100) from January 29, 2020, until March 31, 2021, by employing principal component analysis (PCA) to construct the investors' Sentiment Index (SMI). The results indicated that the sudden outbreak of COVID-19 and its rapid spread significantly impacted investors' psychology, which disrupted investors' investment decisions. Furthermore, rapid increases in confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths increased the uncertainty and unpredictability of the country's economic situation. As a result, the Malaysian financial market showed a steep downward trend during the COVID-19 pandemic.

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