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The Export Survival of Malaysia's Processed Food

Afiza Idris · Normaz Wana Ismail · Shaufique Fahmi · Ahmad Sidique · Shivee Ranjanee Kaliappan ·International Journal of Economics and Management ·2020 ·JEL: C41, F10, F14

Furthering future growth for the food processing industry in Malaysia faces multiple challenges, an area in which a recent trend shows the competitiveness of the exported processed food industry is declining. The sustainability of export flow is found to be a critical factor for long-term export growth. This paper provides empirical evidence on the survival pattern of Malaysia’s processed food exports. The Kaplan-Meier technique is used in this paper to estimate the export survival time and rate of 128 processed food products at 31 export destinations for the period between 2000 and 2017. The findings show that food exporters face a high risk of failure in the initial years of exporting. At the aggregate level, the median survival time of processed food exports is two years, which means that 50% of export relationships face failure by the second year of exporting. The chances of export survival differ in terms of product groups and export destinations. This study also found that a higher initial export value increases the success rate of export survival.

Revival Duration and Determinants of ASEAN Machinery Trade During COVID-19 Pandemic and the Global Financial Crisis

Chia Lin Chang · Yu-Hui Wang · Kuo-I-Chang ·Emerging Markets Finance and Trade ·2022 ·JEL: F14, F10, F61

This study performs survival analysis to evaluate duration of revived and new machinery import and the hazard ratios (HRs) of covariates related to the global financial crisis (GFC) and COVID-19 pandemic in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). The results indicate that large tariff margins decreased the possibility of disruption (HR: 0.8024) to Japanese import from ASEAN countries after revived during the COVID-19 pandemic and increased the possibility of disruption (HR: 1.0338) to Chinese import from ASEAN countries of new import during the GFC.

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