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Wong Sing Yun · Remali Yusoff ·Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia ·2018

The aim of this paper is to investigate the determinants of the public education expenditure in Malaysia during the period of 35 years from 1982 to 2016. This study intends to address the existing research gaps within Malaysia context that failed to receive much attention in the past. The determinants of education expenditure will be modeled using time series data within the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) Bound Testing approach and Error Correction Model (ECM) method. The empirical findings from this study identified the real gross domestic product growth rate (GDP), unemployment rate (UNEM), inflation rate (INF) and working age population (POP2) as the long run determinants of public education expenditure. Findings from the ARDL Bound Testing result further supported the Keynesian CounterCyclical theory as implied by the negative relationship between economic growth and public education expenditure in the long run. The short run analysis through ECM demonstrated that fluctuations in education expenditure was sensitive to the real gross domestic product growth rate (D(GDP)), unemployment rate (D(UNEM)), population of age less than 15 (D(LNPOP1)), and population of age greater than 64 (D(LNPOP3)). This study further recommends that the policy makers to play the role in responding to the economic conditions and demands of the society in their decision-making of the future allocation.

Sabariah Nordin · Afiruddin Tapa · Hamdan Al-Jaifi ·International Journal of Supply Chain Management ·2018

This study intends to identify the long run relationships between oil price, exchange rates, stock market and interest rate in the context of Malaysia. Weekly data from 1 January 2006 until 22 April 2018 were used. Unit root tests of ADF and PP reveal that all variables are non-stationary at level and become integrated and stationary at first differential series, hence ratify that these variables can be used for further long run investigation. An ARDL bound test and Johansen and Juselius cointegration test suggest the existence of actual long-run relationship between oil price, stock price index, exchange rate and interest rate in Malaysia. Results of Granger causality indicates the presence of unidirectional causality between oil prices and Malaysian stock market running from oil prices to the stock price index. Results also suggest that there is a presence of bidirectional causality between interest rate and oil prices which means causality is running from interest rate to oil prices and from oil prices to the interest rate. Lastly, the results also propose that there is an existence of uni-directional causality between exchange rate and oil prices, running from the exchange rate to the oil prices at 10 percent significance level. Even the results of wavelet coherence approach confirm long run relationships between the underlying variables.