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The Impacts of Monetary and Fiscal Policies on Economic Growth in Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand

Chai-Thing Tan · Azali Mohamed · Muzafar Shah Habibullah · Lee Chin ·South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance ·2020 ·JEL: E52, E58, E62, C01

This article analyses the impact of monetary and fiscal policies on economic growth in Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand from 1980:Q1 to 2017:Q1. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach is employed to determine the long-run relationship. Further, a range of econometric models, such as fully modified least squares method (FMOLS), canonical cointegration regression (CCR) and dynamic ordinary least squares method (DOLS), are applied to check the robustness. The results are stable and robust as all the models yield consistency result. The main findings in this study demonstrate that: (a) interest rate had a negative impact on economic growth in three selected countries.

Financial development and economic growth in Malaysia: a nonlinear ARDL application

Chia-Guan Keh · Pei-Tha Gan · Yan-Teng Tan · Fatimah Salwa Binti Abd. Hadi · Norasibah Binti Abdul Jalil ·International Journal of Sustainable Economy ·2022

Determining the relationship between financial development and economic growth is important to make precise projections of economic growth. As most of these studies rely on a symmetric relationship, they can lead to misleading policy implications. To overcome this shortcoming, this paper uses a technique involving an asymmetric relationship. This paper examines the asymmetric relationship between financial development and economic growth in Malaysia from 1980 to 2017 using a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags model. The banking sector and stock market development have been employed as indicators of financial development. The findings suggest that the asymmetric relationship between banking sector development and economic growth exists in the long-run. Banking sector development shows no asymmetric relationship with economic growth in the short-run, while stock market development does not present any asymmetric relationship with economic growth in the short and long-terms. The study infers that the banking sector development is an essential engine of growth promotion. Policymakers should consider banking and stock market development for better policy decision-making.

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