Estimating Fiscal Reaction Functions in Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines
Evan Lau
· Alvina Lee Syn-Yee
·Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia ·2018
As with most of the world economy, the 2008/09 global financial crisis has brought massive impacts on Southeast Asian economies. The debt/GDP ratios in most economies rose significantly, thus putting the spotlight again on fiscal sustainability. This article aims to distinguish the reaction of the primary balance/GDP to changes in the debt/GDP to assess the fiscal sustainability of Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines. In investigating how the respective governments react to the accumulation of debt, the article estimates the fiscal reaction function, initiated by Bohn (1998), using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Vector Autoregression (VAR). The empirical analysis reveals that, based on past behaviour, fiscal policy in Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines remains sustainable.
The Impact of Uncertainty on Trade: The Case for a Small Port
Noor Zahirah Mohd Sidek
· Bhuk Kiranantawat
· Martusorn Khaengkhan
·Economies ·2022
In the present paper, we show how uncertainty emanating from fluctuations in economic uncertainty, news-based uncertainty, and geopolitical risks affect the number of containers exported from Thailand via Penang Port, Malaysia. Our sample extends from January 2009 to May 2020 from three main entry points in the Northern Peninsular Malaysia–Thailand Border: Padang Besar, Surat Thani, and Bukit Kayu Hitam. Two modes of transportation of containers are mainly used for export purposes, namely, road and rai. This study examines the nonlinear effect of uncertainty on trade by employing a two-regime Markov regime-switching approach. The empirical results show that, overall, uncertainty significantly affects the movement of containers in the high-uncertainty regime. Therefore, small ports must continue to diversify their client base to cushion the impact of fluctuations in global trade due to uncertainty
Socioeconomic Factors, Food Supply and Food Security among Communities at the Malaysia-Thailand Border: A Human Security Approach
Bakri Mat (Universiti Utara Malaysia (UUM))
· Ku Nurasyiqin Ku Amir (Universiti Utara Malaysia (UUM))
·International Journal of Supply Chain Management ·2019
Food security is one of the non-traditional security components that forms the basic needs of a nation, households, and individuals. Any problem in food supply or disruption in any of the four key elements of food security will threaten security and well-being of the citizens. In Malaysia, although food availability is ensured through via local production and imports at national level, accessibility and utilization are not yet fulfilled as certain groups and households are still unable to access and utilise adequate food accordingly. Therefore, this research attempts to examine the socioeconomic factors that may contribute towards food insecurity among Malaysian households within communities in Malaysia-Thailand border using human security approach. This study is conducted using qualitative research method to collect and analyse both primary and secondary data. Primary data was obtained through official documents and an in-depth interview with key informants among Malaysian households of the communities near Malaysia-Thailand border, local leaders and academicians. Meanwhile, the secondary source of data was obtained from published materials and online documents such as books, journal articles and reports. The findings indicate that socioeconomic factors were pertinent in contributing towards food insecurity among the households in form of household income, insufficient assistance program, and high living costs. These factors form the main foundation in ensuring the sanctity and wellbeing of the households. In designing state policies, the socioeconomic issues should be prioritized as in ensuring human security of the vulnerable groups, specifically the B40 households. In addition, continuous effort in developing societal empowerment and resilience are vital to achieve citizen wellbeing.
The elusive quest for high income status—Malaysia and Thailand in the post-crisis years
Kunal Sen
· Matthew Tyce
·Structural Change and Economic Dynamics ·2019
Both Malaysia and Thailand were seen to be part of the miracle growth economies of East Asia and fast moving into high income status in the early 1990s. Following the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) of the mid 1990s, both countries have observed prolonged growth slowdowns. In this paper, we offer a political economy explanation of the growth slowdown in Malaysia and Thailand in their post AFC phases. We argue that the nature of the political settlement in these two countries determined a growth strategy that was predicated on offering open deals in the export-oriented manufacturing sector that were accessible to most firms, while at the same time, offering closed deals to politically connected firms in the natural resource and services sectors. As the political settlement moved to a vulnerable authoritarian one in both countries, such a dualistic deals strategy became patronage based over time and detrimental to growth.
Variegated National Retail Markets: Negotiating Transformation through Regulation in Malaysia and Thailand
Alexandra Dales
· Neil M. Coe
· Martin Hess
·Economic Geography ·2019
The last two decades have seen a major wave of retail globalization that has driven the transformation of retail markets in the emerging economies of Southeast Asia and beyond. This article provides a systematic analysis of the divergent pathways of retail market transformation in Malaysia and Thailand through exploring the interface of foreign retailers’ strategies of market development and regulatory efforts by the state. Drawing on the variegated capitalism approach and relational economic geography perspectives, the article develops a dynamic analytical framework for investigating and contrasting contestation and negotiation in the process of market transformation. Based on extensive fieldwork and comprehensive secondary data analysis carried out in Malaysia and Thailand, it demonstrates the different trajectories of the Malaysian and Thai retail markets since the turn of the millennium, and explains the political-economic context, and state-regulatory and retail firm strategies that interactively shape market change. While Malaysia has seen substantial levels of state intervention to protect domestic interests and create a two-tier retail system, the Thai retail market transformation has been based on less rigid but more geographically varied state regulation and foreign retail firm strategies. Thus, this article sheds new light on the host economy impacts of retail globalization in the context of local and national contestation and regulation. It concludes with a summary of the findings and reflections on the value of the analytical frame developed here for research on comparative capitalism beyond the retail sector.