Financial Economics

Rahmat Heru Setianto · Rani Septiani Sipayung · W.N.W. Azman-Saini ·Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review ·2022

The objective of the article is to empirically investigates the role played by financial development in determining the relationship between working capital financing and firms’ performance. Employing data of publicly listed manufacturing firms in five ASEAN countries, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand spanning from 2009-2018 resulted in 6,183 firm years observation. This study conducts an analysis using the two-steps generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator. The inverted U-shape effect of working capital financing on firm profitability is confirmed, indicating a trade off in utilizing short-term debt to finance working capital requirements. Moreover, new evidence was shown that firms which operate in more financially developed regions have the opportunity to utilise a greater percentage of short-term debt without destroying their profitability.

Fazelina Sahul Hamid ·Journal of Asian Economics ·2020

We analyze the lending cyclicality of 213 ASEAN commercial banks over the period 2001–2015. The findings indicate that lending by private banks is procyclical while lending by state banks is countercyclical. Long-term liabilities also move countercyclically for state banks whereas funding for non-state banks in the form of deposit and long-term liabilities is procyclical. Greater lending cyclicality is observed for both private and state banks in Cambodia, Myanmar, Laos, and Vietnam (CMLV) compared to Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Singapore (ASEAN-5). Lending of non-ASEAN based foreign banks shows greater procyclicality than that of domestic banks for the ASEAN-5 countries, although not for the CMLV countries. During the global financial crisis, lending by non-ASEAN based foreign banks contracted sharply even as lending by ASEAN based foreign banks was unaffected. Overall, our results confirm that bank ownership influences lending and funding sensitivity to economic fluctuations.

Dung V. Dinh · Robert J. Powell · Duc H. Vo ·Journal of Asian Economics ·2021 ·JEL: G33, G28

This study is conducted to investigate the prediction of corporate financial distress based on the Merton (1974) market-based Distance to Default (DD) model over the period from 1997 to 2016 which covers a range of economic financial circumstances, including the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) and Global Financial Crisis (GFC). The study focusses on the six largest countries in the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC), comprising of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. Unlike previous studies which focus mainly on bankruptcy, this paper focusses on early warning distress indicators that signal distress well before bankruptcy. This is when firms experience difficulty in servicing debt as measured by interest coverage ratio (ICR) at a firm level and non-performing loans (NPLs) at a country level. Key empirical findings from this paper indicate that the market-based distance-to-default (DD) model is generally a good early warning indicator of financial distress in the following year, particularly for ICR, but that prediction accuracy varies between individual countries in the Southeast Asian region.